Abstract
Climate warming impacts ecosystems through multiple interacting pathways, including via direct thermal responses of individual taxa and the combined responses of closely interacting species. In this study, we examined how warming and infection by an oomycete parasite (Saprolegnia) affect the dominant zooplankter of Russia's Lake Baikal, the endemic copepodEpischurella baikalensis. We used a combination of laboratory experiments, long-term monitoring data, and population modeling. Experiments showed a large difference in the thermal optima of host and parasite, with strong negative effects of warm temperatures onE. baikalensissurvival and reproduction and a negative effect ofSaprolegniainfection on survival.Saprolegniainfection had an unexpected positive effect onE. baikalensisreproductive output, which may be consistent with fecundity compensation by females exposed to the parasite. Long-term monitoring data suggested thatSaprolegniainfections were most common during the warmest periods of the year. Population models, parameterized with experimental and literature data, correctly predicted the timing ofSaprolegniaepizootics, but overestimated the negative effect of warming onE. baikalensispopulations. Models suggest that diel vertical migration may allowE. baikalensisto escape the negative effects of increasing temperatures and parasitism and enableE. baikalensisto persist in the face of moderate warming of Lake Baikal. Our results contribute to understanding of how warming and parasitism interact to affect the pelagic ecosystems of cold lakes and oceans and how the consequences of these interacting stressors can vary seasonally, spatially, and interannually.